Monday, November 26, 2007


This graph about drinking patterns tells an interesting story. On the x axis we have frequency of drinking and on the y axis getting drunk during the last 30 days among European and American 15- and 16-year-olds in 2003. While Denmark, UK and Ireland have a lot of drunkenness, they don't consume most alcohol. The Dutch do drink most, or most often, but do not get drunk that often. The Nordic countries have all very low freqeuncy of drinking but average probability of getting drunk, which seems to be the effect of expensive alcohol. There probably wouldn't be a straight relationship between the two variables.

Friday, November 23, 2007


My blog has had 2000 visitors, the 2000th was someone working for the Royal Bank of Canada in the UK.

Monday, November 19, 2007

DWP sickness test

Today's DWP press release claims a new sickness test decreases worklessness. It says.

The new test, published today for the first time, is more robust, accurate and fairer. Fifty per cent of those who take the assessment will not pass it, meaning that 20,000 fewer people a year will enter ‘sickness’ benefits as a result, and will instead be given the support and skills they need to get a job.
What's the point of 50% not passing the test? Does that mean by default 50% are not sick? So the test knows before you probability to be sick or not. Magic.

Sunday, November 18, 2007

Calamity Clegg

The LibDem leadership contest just got a bit interesting. Huhne was presented with a brief from his office Calamity Clegg, which he claims he doesn't know about. Clegg obviously took offence, while Huhne wouldn't apologise. They fight a bit like husband and wife. It certainly wasn't staged. Still I have the impression that people's perception about the two won't change.

Thursday, November 15, 2007

Miliband's proposal

... is stupid, he suggests to expand the EU beyond Europe. Who in this country of EU skepticism will support this? British people cannot even accept the EU as it is, why should they accept an even larger EU.


The Spectator has just published the politics awards. I think they are a bit biased, just one Labour politician in the list, I don't count Blair's resignation of the year. George Osborne is politician of the year, however what has he achieved this year??

Tuesday, November 06, 2007

Conference in Cergy

The Third German French Austrian Conference on Quantitative Marketing in Cergy took place in September. There is an extensive list of abstracts (only), but some papers sound really interesting.