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Saturday, July 28, 2007

Don't vote for Boris

Although Boris Johnson seems more fresh than many professional politicians there is nothing genuine about this man. It would be a disgrace for London. His Etonian wit (?) might be entertaining at dinners, but is nothing for a city as important as London. We don't need any clowns.

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Iraqi football

Today I read about the high hopes which Iraqis put into their football team when playing in the Asia cup. It is such a pity that this country has to suffer such an enduring misery, and that only a win in sports is able to unify the country is a sad and hopeful picture at the same time.

Mühe

Ulrich Mühe who recently won awards for his depiction of an East German Stasi officer in Das Leben der Anderen died two days ago. The 54 year old was suffering from cancer. Mühe was one of Gemany’s best actors who didn’t shine through acting brilliance but through his steady and calm manner appealing to East and West Germans alike.

Sunday, July 15, 2007

Sunday, July 08, 2007

Goyal

Three years ago I asked a professor at Essex about a reference and he told me how dry he finds places like Cambridge. Now he is professor at Cambridge himself. Seems he's run out of bubbles.

Friday, July 06, 2007

GMDH in Prague

The 2nd International Workshop on Inductive Modeling (IWIM07) will be held in Prague on September 23-26, 2007. It will feature Ivakhnenko’s Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) as a typical inductive modeling method.


The Band of England website has a list of voting intentions of the MPC (1997 till now). I have analysed this data set and after some cleaning (of people with short record) I have derived the defections from the ultimate voting decision. I have neglected maintain rate defections as the intention is not totally clear. Stephen Nickel has accounted for most defections, 13 of which are to decrease rates, which makes him very lax on monetary policy. Willem Buiter disagreed in 47% of cases, so a real … Sir Edward George although being there in 74 meetings did never defect. The governor has accounted for most increase defections and thus proves to be a cautious central banker.

Sunday, July 01, 2007

Brown effect

Only a few days after Gordon Brown there is an increase in ratings. polling Report states

Two new polls in Saturday’s papers show Labour back in the lead as the “Brown boost” takes effect. A YouGov poll in the Telegraph has headline figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll, of CON 35% (-2), LAB 38% (+3), LDEM 15% (+1). An ICM poll in the Guardian has CON 35% (-2), LAB 39% (+7), LDEM 18% (-3).